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Every time we choose a route to work, decide whether to go on a second date, or set aside money for a rainy day, we are making a prediction about the future. Yet from the financial crisis to ecological disasters, we routinely fail to foresee hugely significant events, often at great cost. In "The Signal and the Noise", the "New York Times" political forecaster Nate Silver, who accurately predicted the results of every state in the 2012 US election, reveals how we can all develop better foresight in an uncertain world. From the stock market to the poker table, from earthquakes to the economy, he takes us on an enthralling insider's tour of the high-stakes world of forecasting, showing how we can use information in a smarter way amid a noise of data - and make better predictions in our own lives.

(Book Jacket Status: Jacketed) Here is Roald Dahl's original novel of a little girl with extraordinary powers. This much-loved story has recently been made into a wonderful new musical, adapted by Dennis Kelly with music and lyrics by Tim Minchin. --Stephen King, "The New York Times The Signal and the Noise: The Art and Science of Prediction download book Book Review" "Sensational in every sense of the word: filled with exotic locations, lusty appetites and page-turning treachery." Nancy is asked to locate a stolen pearl necklace that is unusual and very valuable. She soon learns that strange and dangerous people are responsible for the theft. They harass her at home and intensify it when she and her father go to Japan, until they finally manage to kidnap Nancy and her friend Ned Nickerson when she returns to River Heights. "Booklist: " "Marrying the intimate family portrait of Heiligman s "Charles and Emma" with the politics and intrigue of Sheinkin s "Bomb," Fleming has outdone herself with this riveting work of narrative nonfiction that appeals to the imagination as much as the intellect." "The Horn Book," Starred

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Author: Nate Silver
Number of Pages: 544 pages
Published Date: 06 Dec 2012
Publisher: Penguin Books Ltd
Publication Country: London, United Kingdom
Language: English
ISBN: 9781846148163
Download Link: Click Here
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